Draggingtree Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 : Posted on | September 17, 2014 | 7 Comments Less than seven weeks before Election Day 2014, the epic struggle to control the media narrative continues: Democrats are now (very slightly) favored to hold the Senate majority on Nov. 4, according to Election Lab, The Post’s statistical model of the 2014 midterm elections. Election Lab puts Democrats’ chances of retaining their majority at 51 percent — a huge change from even a few months ago, when the model predicted that Republicans had a better than 80 percent chance of winning the six seats they need to take control. What this is about is managing expectations, preventing Democrats (and their reliable allies in the media) from becoming demoralized by the more likely prospect that Republicans will capture control of the Senate in November. Last week, poll wizard Nate Silver gave the GOP a 65% chance of winning the Senate majority, and I cautioned at that time a lot could change between early September and Nov. 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Draggingtree Posted September 17, 2014 Author Share Posted September 17, 2014 Are Republicans Going To Blow It Again?Mike H September 17, 20141COMMENTS More evidence that Republicans are flailing without a plan of action. Nate Silver* now has Democrats pulling close to even in the battle for the Senate: Republicans’ odds have improved in several important races since the launch of our model. Democrats’ odds have improved in several others. But the two states with the largest shifts have been Colorado and North Carolina — in both cases, the movement has been in Democrats’ direction. That accounts for most of the difference in the forecast. http://ricochet.com/are-republicans-going-to-blow-it-again/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clearvision Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 Are Republicans Going To Blow It Again? Mike H September 17, 20141COMMENTS More evidence that Republicans are flailing without a plan of action. Nate Silver* now has Democrats pulling close to even in the battle for the Senate: Republicans’ odds have improved in several important races since the launch of our model. Democrats’ odds have improved in several others. But the two states with the largest shifts have been Colorado and North Carolina — in both cases, the movement has been in Democrats’ direction. That accounts for most of the difference in the forecast. http://ricochet.com/are-republicans-going-to-blow-it-again/ @NCTexan What is wrong with you guys out there on the east coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCTexan Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 Are Republicans Going To Blow It Again? Mike H September 17, 20141COMMENTS More evidence that Republicans are flailing without a plan of action. Nate Silver* now has Democrats pulling close to even in the battle for the Senate: Republicans’ odds have improved in several important races since the launch of our model. Democrats’ odds have improved in several others. But the two states with the largest shifts have been Colorado and North Carolina — in both cases, the movement has been in Democrats’ direction. That accounts for most of the difference in the forecast. http://ricochet.com/are-republicans-going-to-blow-it-again/ @NCTexan What is wrong with you guys out there on the east coast? It looks like we don't know our posterior orifice from a hole in the ground when it comes to playing hardball politics. @clearvision 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Draggingtree Posted September 17, 2014 Author Share Posted September 17, 2014 Are Republicans Going To Blow It Again? Mike H September 17, 20141COMMENTS More evidence that Republicans are flailing without a plan of action. Nate Silver* now has Democrats pulling close to even in the battle for the Senate: Republicans’ odds have improved in several important races since the launch of our model. Democrats’ odds have improved in several others. But the two states with the largest shifts have been Colorado and North Carolina — in both cases, the movement has been in Democrats’ direction. That accounts for most of the difference in the forecast. http://ricochet.com/are-republicans-going-to-blow-it-again/ @NCTexan What is wrong with you guys out there on the east coast? It looks like we don't know our posterior orifice from a hole in the ground when it comes to playing hardball politics. @clearvision Fix It Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Draggingtree Posted September 19, 2014 Author Share Posted September 19, 2014 GDIAF NRSCBy: Erick Erickson (Diary) | September 19th, 2014 at 04:30 AM Yesterday in the Wall Street Journal, Karl Rove sounded the alarm. Republicans are not doing as well as they should given the election dynamic. According to Rove, “Republican candidates and groups must step up if they are to substantially reduce that gap . . . . [R]educing the Democratic cash advantage will tip the needle in the GOP’s direction. That will only happen if Republicans open their wallets to candidates whom they may have never met, and, if they live in a battleground state, they clear their calendars to volunteer to identify and get out the vote.” And now they find themselves short of funds in the general election. No kidding. Screw you all. I will not give you one damn penny. http://www.redstate.com/2014/09/19/gdiaf-nrsc/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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