Valin Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 City Journal: Judith Miller 4/25/13 (Snip) But the 1,000 cops and analysts who work in the NYPD’s intelligence and counterterrorism divisions, terrorism analysts say, would have been far more likely than their Boston counterparts to have flagged Tamerlan Tsarnaev for surveillance, given police commissioner Ray Kelly’s insistence on aggressively monitoring groups and individuals suspected of undergoing radicalization. New York cops almost surely would have monitored Tsarnaev, for example, if they had known that Russia had warned the FBI in 2011 that he was an Islamic radical, that he was potentially dangerous, and that he had spent six months in Dagestan last year. “We would have been very reluctant to shut down an investigation if we knew all that it seems the Bureau knew or could have known, especially once he had traveled to a region of concern,” said Mitchell Silber, the former director of intelligence analysis for the NYPD, who now works at K2, a New York–based private security firm. “Dropping coverage on someone who came back to kill New Yorkers was one of my top fears.” In August 2007, Silber and Arvin Bhatt, another NYPD analyst, wrote what was then considered a controversial report arguing that with the decimation of al-Qaida’s “core” and the group’s metastasis into far-flung clusters, the primary threat to the city would come from “homegrown” Muslims under the age of 35 who had become Islamists in the West. Based on an analysis of some 11 plots, their report, 1Radicalization in the West: The Homegrown Threat, concluded that the plotters were “unremarkable” citizens who had undergone often rapid radicalization, nine out of ten of them in the West. The analysts identified a pattern of radicalization and listed common characteristics of each stage of the process prior to committing a terrorist act. Since then, the NYPD has looked for such warning signs among New York’s diverse Muslim population of 600,000 to 750,000 people—about 40 percent of whom are foreign-born—as homegrown terrorist plots increase. In 2005, there was just one homegrown terrorist plot in the country; by 2010, there were 12. (Snip) In New York, Tsarnaev’s mosque quarrel and his sudden behavioral changes might well have been reported by concerned worshippers, the imam himself, or other fellow Muslims, given the NYPD’s close ties to Muslim preachers and community leaders, as well as its network of tipsters and undercover operatives. Once it had Tsarnaev under surveillance, the NYPD, through its sophisticated cyber-unit, might have detected his suspicious online viewing choices and social-media postings. Other detectives might have picked up his purchase of a weapon, gunpowder, and even a pressure cooker—an item featured in an article, “How to Build a Bomb in the Kitchen of Your Mom,” in the online al-Qaida magazine Inspire. Even if the NYPD hadn’t been watching Tsarnaev, it might have been tipped off to such suspicious purchases thanks to its Nexus program, launched in 2002, under which the department has visited more than 40,000 businesses in the metropolitan area, encouraging business owners and managers to report suspicious purchases or other activities potentially related to terrorism. (Snip) H/T Hot Air There are 3 keys to stopping this sort of attack 1. intelligences 2. intelligences and most importantly 3. intelligences 1 Radicalization in the West : the homegrown threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valin Posted April 27, 2013 Author Share Posted April 27, 2013 WSJ Vid: Why NYPD Would Have Caught Boston Bombers Manhattan Institute fellow Judy Miller on what other police departments could learn from NYPD’s surveillance programs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pollyannaish Posted April 27, 2013 Share Posted April 27, 2013 I would be hesitant to say anything like this publicly. Pride goeth before a fall. It may be true, but better to just keep mum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pepper Posted April 27, 2013 Share Posted April 27, 2013 @pollyannaish Ditto on your proverb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valin Posted April 27, 2013 Author Share Posted April 27, 2013 @pollyannaish Ditto on your proverb. OTOH, it ain't bragging if you can back it up. The point is the NYPD spends a lot of money and time on this. What causes these guys to lose sleep is their are people out there, no one knows about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pepper Posted April 27, 2013 Share Posted April 27, 2013 @Valin, perhaps. And just think how much more time and effort could be devoted to protection if large soft drink sales and other Bloomberg inanities were off the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valin Posted April 29, 2013 Author Share Posted April 29, 2013 @Valin, perhaps. And just think how much more time and effort could be devoted to protection if large soft drink sales and other Bloomberg inanities were off the table. Your problem is you don't your priorities straight! I mean here we have Michael Bloomberg trying to defeat almost single handed the greatest threat to the nation and all he get is criticism....I refer of course to the scourge of modern civilization the 320z Big Gulp. So lets give the guy some slack. Some sarcasm may be present 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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